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Climate Change and Cooling, Climate Versus Weather
May 9th, 2008 by Administrator |

Much ado has been made [ark] regarding a study last week in Nature which found that global warming may continue to slow or even cool some places over the coming decade. This was seized upon by all sorts of climate skeptics [search] and charlatans to suggest climate change is not so important after all. I have three brief responses. Firstly, the rise in average global temperature is only one way to characterize change in atmospheric patterns and processes. It is becoming apparent that broader extremes around temperature averages as demonstrated by unusual weather events — including quite possibly the cyclone in Myanmar — may be the greater harm. This is why “climate change” has long been recognized as a better term than “global warming” to communicate these dynamics.

Secondly, as RealClimate points out in their post “Global Cooling - Wanna Bet?” — this study and other recent coverage of a lack of warming in recent years are flawed because they compare long term climate change to short term weather variability [search]. There have been lulls, peaks and troughs in the plainly evident past human-caused global warming and their will be as we go forward.

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